Texas Parks and Wildlife Department (TPWD) biologists say hunters will need to be flexible for the 2026-27 waterfowl season. Duck populations have declined over the long term across nearly all prairie-nesting species, which TPWD linked to more than a decade of drought in the Prairie Pothole Region. Improved habitat in several breeding areas this year could lead to strong juvenile production, so hunters may see more young birds.
Kevin Kraai, TPWD Waterfowl Program Leader, said hunters should keep measured expectations. He said a possible reduced migration and long-term population trends remain concerns. He added that the overall message is "cautious optimism."
TPWD said Texas had a wet, cool early summer, followed by extreme heat and dry conditions that stressed wetlands. Recent wet weather and El Niño have quickly improved habitat in many regions. The agency said rainfall is a major factor in how many ducks come to Texas, because the state lacks substantial agricultural waste grain. Long-range forecasts call for a cooler, wetter Texas winter, though warmer-than-normal conditions to the north could delay migration. The Gulf Coast remains the region most in need of sustained rain, TPWD said.